Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002238 0.002367 0.002503 0.002660 0.002835 0.003026 0.003252
2025-02-02 0.002042 0.002221 0.002421 0.002663 0.002954 0.003297 0.003740
2025-02-09 0.001944 0.002159 0.002410 0.002731 0.003137 0.003652 0.004379
2025-02-16 0.001844 0.002080 0.002364 0.002740 0.003239 0.003910 0.004937
2025-02-23 0.001799 0.002059 0.002381 0.002824 0.003442 0.004326 0.005814
2025-03-02 0.001713 0.001979 0.002315 0.002787 0.003469 0.004491 0.006336
2025-03-09 0.001628 0.001894 0.002235 0.002722 0.003444 0.004567 0.006721
2025-03-16 0.001596 0.001875 0.002238 0.002772 0.003593 0.004942 0.007791
2025-03-23 0.001565 0.001854 0.002236 0.002812 0.003730 0.005320 0.009043
2025-03-30 0.001514 0.001803 0.002191 0.002783 0.003749 0.005490 0.009891
2025-04-06 0.001453 0.001736 0.002118 0.002707 0.003682 0.005482 0.010268
2025-04-13 0.001409 0.001691 0.002074 0.002672 0.003681 0.005603 0.011093
2025-04-20 0.001327 0.001592 0.001952 0.002516 0.003465 0.005274 0.010438
2025-04-27 0.001301 0.001570 0.001941 0.002532 0.003556 0.005609 0.012229
2025-05-04 0.001291 0.001569 0.001960 0.002597 0.003744 0.006207 0.015812
2025-05-11 0.001266 0.001547 0.001946 0.002606 0.003828 0.006591 0.019278
2025-05-18 0.001260 0.001552 0.001971 0.002683 0.004055 0.007425 0.028618
2025-05-25 0.001228 0.001516 0.001934 0.002650 0.004053 0.007627 0.034206
2025-06-01 0.001191 0.001473 0.001884 0.002590 0.003990 0.007630 0.037852
2025-06-08 0.001181 0.001469 0.001893 0.002636 0.004158 0.008425 0.066781
2025-06-15 0.001169 0.001462 0.001897 0.002673 0.004313 0.009267 0.170752
2025-06-22 0.001145 0.001434 0.001867 0.002646 0.004318 0.009564 0.447093
2025-06-29 0.001112 0.001394 0.001816 0.002577 0.004214 0.009394 0.615633